Iran-Israel conflict: who benefits most?

The conflict between Iran and Israel is one of the most complex and dangerous geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. This conflict mobilizes the interests of various countries not only in the region, but also on a global scale. In particular, Russia and China - two major geopolitical powers - seek to strengthen their interests in the Iran-Israel confrontation. The interests of these two countries are analyzed below.

Russia's interests

1. Strengthening geopolitical influence

Russia is trying to maintain and expand its influence in the Middle East. Cooperation with Iran will allow it to counter the influence of the United States and its allies in the region.

2. Arms trade and military cooperation

Russia benefits economically and politically from supplying Iran with advanced military equipment (such as the S-300 air defense system), a partnership that poses a threat to Israel.

3. Role in Syria and exploitation of the conflict

Syria is a key point in the field of practical demonstration of Russian influence in the region. The presence of Iran and Hezbollah in Syria strengthens Russia's position in Syria. Israel's fight against Iranian influence there creates an opportunity for political maneuvering for Russia.

4. Use as a "trading card" in negotiations with the West

Russia can support Iran as a strategic partner and use it as a tool of pressure in negotiations with the West.

China's interests

1. Energy security

China is one of the major countries that relies on Iran for its oil and gas imports. Stable relations with Iran are important for ensuring China's energy security.

2. The "One Belt, One Road" project

Iran is a strategic point in China's global economic strategy. Through Iran, China will have access to European markets. Therefore, instability in Iran is considered contrary to China's interests.

3. Political competition against US influence

China seeks to balance US influence by deepening political and economic cooperation with Iran, while maintaining economic ties with Israel.

4. Debt and investment policy

China is increasing its influence through loans and investments to develop Iran's infrastructure. If the conflict with Israel escalates, Iran's dependence on the West could decrease and its dependence on China could increase.

In conclusion, the Iran-Israel conflict presents Russia and China with a strategic opportunity rather than a direct military intervention. Russia aims to maintain its political influence in the region and put pressure on the West, while China aims to achieve energy security and economic stability through the Belt and Road Initiative. Both countries are trying to use the conflict cautiously, rather than directly.